Senior Demand Planner

8 months ago

Johannesburg, South Africa Aspen Pharma Group Full time

Applications are invited for the above-indicated vacancy that exists in the **Demand Planning Division** based in Gauteng. The incumbent will report directly to the **Demand Planning Lead.**

**Company Description**

We are a global specialty and branded pharmaceutical company, improving the health of patients across the world through our high quality and affordable medicines. Active at every stage of the value chain, we are uniquely diversi?ed by geography, product and manufacturing capability.

Aspen is a dynamic organisation built on entrepreneurial strength and forward-thinking minds. We attract high performing individuals who are passionate about their career and have a desire to exceed expectations. At aspen, not only do we source for the best talent but we also provide a host of opportunities for continuous development.

The Group’s key business segments are Manufacturing and Commercial Pharmaceuticals comprising Regional Brands and Sterile Focus Brands. We have approximately 9 100 employees at 69 established offices in over 50 countries and we improve the health of patients in more than 150 countries through our high quality, affordable medicines.

**OBJECTIVE**:
The purpose of this role is to perform forecasting and demand planning. Act as a focal point to improve forecast accuracy. Assist in leveraging improvements in supply chain efficiency through demand driven inventory optimization.
Demand planner is responsible for product forecasting by creating and maintaining forecast models through baseline planning, market insights and events planning.

**KEY RESPONSIBILITIES**:
**Demand Plan Generation & Maintenance**
- Collaboration with business unit heads, brand, and sales to generate and maintain a 24-month rolling forecast with latest assumptions
- Drive accurate forecast in statistical and consensus forecasting covering both baseline and events planning
- Maintain demand planning systems to reflect latest forecast

**Forecasting**

**Create statistical forecasts**
- Analyse historical demand and remove anomalies (including outliers) from the norm using historical information
- Execute statistical modelling
- Review resulting statistical forecast model
- Summarize/aggregate

**Create consensus forecast**
- Achieve consensus for operational demand forecast by facilitating monthly forecast meeting with sales, marketing & finance
- Build into the monthly forecast any relevant market intelligence information discussed at the marketing updates on pricing, promotion, market penetration.
- Prepare relevant forecast and performance data as well as research materials to drive discussions on forward forecast adjustments, on both base and events
- Provide insights to past promotional activities through analytics and share recommendations on forecast adjustments or promotion adjustments
- Coordinate cross-functional research activities to reconcile significant variances and refine forecast model to reflect latest sales and assumptions

**Forecasting Performance Tracking**
- Monitor forecast trends & errors. Analyse forecast accuracy and bias performance through tracking sales actual and unpacking market insights and various demand drivers
- Present the forecast accuracy at the Forecast review meeting, agreed on root cause analysis and corrective actions.
- Monitoring actual sales to drive continuous improvements in consensus forecasting with marketing and sales

**Budget and Financial forecasting process**
- Generate and approve a budget demand plan
- Attendance of Quarterly Financial Forecasting process with Brand and Finance
- Agree with Brand and Finance on base plan and submit to GSK Finance on a yearly basis for GSK budgets (where applicable)
- Providing purchasing forecasts for Clones to finance quarterly.

**Supply Planning & Inventory Management**
- Track stock supply point delivery vs actual, conduct required follow up to ensure service delivery
- Attend relevant sales and operations execution meetings with suppliers
- Assess stock prioritization, pull forward and deferral request based on demand movements
- Ensure stock holding conforms with inventory policy and investigate deviations for corrective actions.
- Alternatively provide scenarios for decision making on proposed stock holding.
- Identify and review items with excess inventory and propose action plan.
- Manage short dated stock and drive demand shaping with Marketing - repacks/shelf extensions/special activities where allowed by GSK RA.
- Minimise write off costs on slow moving stock by proposing change in stock policy or demand shaping actions to reduce write off.
- Preparation of supply planning related reports for monthly supplier engagement meetings
- Providing commentary monthly on excess and shortfall stock as well as key drivers to inventory forward.
- Explore alternative supply options including section 21 and 36 products. Manage Section 21 supply process
- Liaise with GSK/Other 3rd parties QA on post importation testing (where ap

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